the storm stalls over the middle Texas coast Tuesday before moving northeast Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday. Unfortunately, the watershed will not benefit much from Beta's rainfall.Wind reports from Beta show mid to low end tropical storm force near landfalling locations; as high as 52mph in Victoria. Stay up to date with the most current forecast numbers as they will shift with the track.As this storm drifts north, it will be influenced by both high pressure over the southeastern US and a stalled cold front in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Beta is still moving north at 8 mph, but is forecast to eventually turn west today.Beta's forecast cone shows a northerly shift in its westward path toward Texas. Rockport and Refugio are both inside the cone; although, impacts won't be dramatically different even if Beta slides a little farther south. Corpus Christi continues to stay in the cone of uncertainty.Hurricane WATCHES in effect from Rockport and NORTH,Tropical Storm WATCHES in effect from Corpus Christi and SOUTH.There are two things on the chart - the probability of TS force winds (39-73 mph) at a given location, & the timing of when to expect them. Moreover, keeping it somewhat disorganized.Beta will struggle with intensification due to dry air moving in from the north. However, winds are expected to get gusty in the Coastal Bend Monday and Tuesday. Compared to Hanna, this is a lower surge forecast. in Nueces/Kleberg Counties and 2-4 ft. in Aransas County and northward. Something to monitor through tomorrow is the track of Beta and whether it is slightly farther south tomorrow morning.10 PM SUN UPDATE - Tropical Storm Beta continues to track west-northwest at 6 MPH tonight. The placement this morning will translate to some passing showers for the Coastal Bend. Because of those two things, Beta has not been able to strengthen and has weakened a little this morning - Now producing 50 mph sustained winds. Monday will be our best chance as the storm moves closer to Houston.Tropical storm Beta is having a rough go of it and hasn't moved much today. This should reduce the risk of rapid intensification over the next couple days as Beta continues to move west closer to the coast. I adjusted the hand drawn wind map - also attached in post.The flood threat has gone way down in the Coastal Bend. Some subtle changes in track will change how effects are delivered to the Coastal...A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Port Mansfield, TX to Cameron, LA including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake and Calcasieu Lake.Hurricane Hunters find Tropical Storm has strengthened. Tropical Storm Warnings in Aransas/Refugio Counties and Tropical Storm Watches in San Patricio, Nueces, Kleberg, and Kenedy Counties.4PM, Sept. 19, Tropical Update - BETA Beta is moving west at 6 mph, roughly 100 miles away from the TX Gulf Coast.Beta is forecast to move ashore tonight between San Antonio Bay and Matagorda Bay as a 45-50 mph tropical storm. Remember, the effects of a tropical … Moreover, on the outer western edge. I don't see any location in the viewing area exceeding 50 mph Monday or Tuesday.As Beta moves north, weather conditions will gradually improve, starting late Tuesday, into Wednesday.10 PM SUN UPDATE - Tropical Storm Beta continues to track west-northwest at 6 MPH tonight. The storm's center is 120 miles southeast of Galveston.Earlier today, tropical storm warnings were extended further inland for the Houston area, as the center of the forecast cone has the storm passing directly over us.Heavy rain is expected with the storm. For the coastal counties of the Coastal Bend, a 40-50% chance of TS force wind with the most likely arrival time being around 8A, Mon.There are two things on the chart - the probability of TS force winds (39-73 mph) at a given location, & the timing of when to expect them.Tropical Storm Beta forecast to to briefly reach category 1 hurricane status, then down to TS as it bends north, paralleling the TX Gulf Coast next week. Tropical Storm Beta showed some giddyup this afternoon with a burst of convection...Beta continues to struggle, ingesting dry air and taking on wind shear, courtesy the weak cold front stalled in the gulf. However, Rockport is now technically inside the forecast cone. This is the second time in history the Greek alphabet has been used for storm names.Hurricane Sally was the latest hurricane to form in the 2020 season. It'...Depending on how far south the track of Tropical Storm Beta moves will determine more about rainfall Monday and Tuesday. While flooding rains are not expected locally, Some locations may receive a few inches of rain over the next few days, locally. Tropical forecasts evolve on a daily, if not hourly basis and when you stop paying attention, those changes can seem drastic if you aren't keeping up. As more confidence in the specific track/intensity emerges, we can up this outlook accordingly.

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