Featured image credit: Arran Bee (CC BY 2.0), Joe Greenwood – LSE

But with just weeks to go until polling day, is the challenger's lead large enough to deny Trump a second term? Pollster Scott Rasmussen said the poll showed Trump ahead with white voters and the over 45s, but Biden having a stronger lead within his own party - 82%, compared to Trump holding on to 75% of Republicans. And that saw odds of a US trade deal being done slide out to 6/4 (40% chance) from evens (50%) overnight.

In this vein, between 20 November and 2 December, the Political Studies Association (PSA) ran a survey asking experts for their election predictions. “The likelihood of an agreement being made between the two nations looked promising two weeks ago and was odds-on at just 2/5, but now the chances of it happening are dwindling. Over the course of the election, public perceptions of the election outcome have been largely consistent. The bookies make the Democratic candidate 4/5 favourite in the betting ahead of Donald Trump, who is currently even-money. Millions will be heading to the polls tomorrow to cast their votes for the UK’s next Government. According to its analysis, the Conservatives are on track to win 352 seats in this election. for Scotland will be used. The two figures below show their predicted vote share for the GB-wide parties and the seats expected to be won by the parties standing in England, Scotland, and Wales.

The MRP poll is one of very few surveys that roughly predicted the result of …

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As with vote share, they predict seats for the Brexit Party, Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru in line with the polls at the time. Every day until November 3, we'll be bringing you the latest polls, predictions and betting odds for the Election - as well as round ups of the latest news from the campaign trail. Tick the box marked "Scotland prediction" and you can enter the predicted support for all eight major Scottish parties, including the SNP, Brexit and the Greens. The YouGov MRP poll showed the Tories could win 339 seats (22 more than they took in 2017) and a vote share of 43%. Or will the incumbent defy historically low approval ratings and sneak through victories in enough battleground states to secure four more years in the Oval Office? The experts’ scepticism regarding the Conservative Party’s ability to maintain its performance until election day is also reflected in a divide over whether they will win a majority of seats. It’s seven weeks until America goes to the polls to decide whether to give Donald Trump four more years in the Oval Office, or to give Joe Biden a shot at the top job. Donald Trump’s bid to portray Joe Biden as ‘radical’ and ‘far left’ isn’t working, new polling suggests. Biden leads in two crucial battleground states, according to new numbers from CNN.

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